YX 5830 · ORF → BOS

departs 10:55 AM ET · arrives 12:45 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts +36 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
18%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ ORF is prone to delays

↑ BOS is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORF

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

Weather at each end

ORF (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5830 · ORF → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?