Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1228 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 16 Tomorrow

AA 1228 · DFW → CLE

departs 5:49 PM CT · arrives 9:33 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at DFW that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1228 · DFW → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?