Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1914 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 16 Tomorrow

AA 1914 · ORF → DFW

departs 6:59 PM ET · arrives 9:38 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORF

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORF (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1914 · ORF → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?