Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1935 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 16

AA 1935 · DFW → MEM

departs 12:33 PM CT · arrives 2:13 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.01 in

MEM (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1935 · DFW → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?