Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 702 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 16

AA 702 · DFW → SJU

departs 5:52 PM CT · arrives 12:50 AM AT

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 64h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±10 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SJU?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at DFW that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.02 in

SJU (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 702 · DFW → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?