Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 22SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 22 · SEA → JFK
departs 11:15 PM PT · arrives 7:38 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.