Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1397 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 16

DL 1397 · AUS → ATL

departs 4:55 PM CT · arrives 8:29 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 48h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ 4pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.04 in

ATL (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1397 · AUS → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?