Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1464
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
DL 1464 · SLC → GPI
departs 9:01 PM MT · arrives 12:48 AM -05
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 49%
Sun 11/15 13%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 8%
Wed 11/18 9%
Thu 11/19 14%
Fri 11/20 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at GPI more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GPI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at GPI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GPI?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at GPI that day
↑
SLC is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
↓
Arrivals into GPI at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
GPI (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.