Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2310 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 16 Tomorrow

DL 2310 · RSW → LGA

departs 7:53 PM ET · arrives 10:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±4 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling9,567 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2310 · RSW → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?