Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2333 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 16

DL 2333 · JAX → DTW

departs 12:09 PM ET · arrives 2:30 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JAX

Weather at each end

JAX (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2333 · JAX → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?