Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2551
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
DL 2551 · LAX → PDX
departs 2:19 PM PT · arrives 4:34 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 27%
Wed 11/18 29%
Thu 11/19 33%
Fri 11/20 23%
Sat 11/21 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Other factors
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.02 in
PDX (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.