Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 419 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 16 Tomorrow

DL 419 · SEA → HNL

departs 4:35 PM PT · arrives 8:45 PM HT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at HNL that day

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.03 in

HNL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 419 · SEA → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?