Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 90 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 16

DL 90 · MCO → AMS

departs 7:18 PM ET · arrives 9:53 AM CET

Forecast issued Sat 8:00 PM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at AMS more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AMS?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AMS

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

AMS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 90 · MCO → AMS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AMS?