Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3628
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
MQ 3628 · MTY → DFW
departs 7:13 PM CST · arrives 9:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 72%
Mon 11/16
Thu 11/19 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave MTY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at DFW that day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MTY (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.