Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3883
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
MQ 3883 · DFW → ACT
departs 4:49 PM CT · arrives 5:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 68%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 11%
Wed 11/18 17%
Thu 11/19 26%
Fri 11/20 25%
Sat 11/21 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at ACT more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±4 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ACT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at ACT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ACT?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at DFW that day
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
ACT (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.