Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3889
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
MQ 3889 · DFW → MTY
departs 4:47 PM CT · arrives 6:37 PM CST
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 72%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 10%
Wed 11/18 17%
Thu 11/19 26%
Fri 11/20 22%
Sat 11/21 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at MTY more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MTY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at MTY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MTY?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at DFW that day
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
MTY (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.