Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3213 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 16 Tomorrow

OO 3213 · STS → BUR

departs 1:18 PM PT · arrives 2:56 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at STS that day

↑ 1pm departures from STS are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into BUR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

STS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.07 in

BUR (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3213 · STS → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?