Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3744
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
OO 3744 · ORF → DTW
departs 4:42 PM ET · arrives 6:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 9%
Wed 11/18 20%
Thu 11/19 22%
Fri 11/20 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave ORF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORF
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
Weather at each end
ORF (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DTW (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.