Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3910
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
OO 3910 · TUS → LAX
departs 1:31 PM MT · arrives 2:16 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Sun 11/15 12%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 14%
Wed 11/18 14%
Thu 11/19 15%
Fri 11/20 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave TUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TUS
↓
This flight has been late 13% of the time recently
Weather at each end
TUS (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.