Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4101
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
OO 4101 · AUS → IND
departs 7:10 AM CT · arrives 10:54 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Sat 11/14 10%
Sun 11/15 15%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 14%
Wed 11/18 14%
Thu 11/19 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at AUS that day
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
IND (destination)
Gusts 2 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.