Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4798
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
OO 4798 · SFO → PSP
departs 4:26 PM PT · arrives 6:08 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 65%
Sun 11/15 71%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 36%
Wed 11/18 30%
Thu 11/19 33%
Fri 11/20 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at PSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PSP?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PSP
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
PSP (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.