Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5221
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
OO 5221 · AMA → DEN
departs 8:00 AM CT · arrives 8:41 AM MT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sun 11/15 27%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 19%
Wed 11/18 19%
Thu 11/19 19%
Fri 11/20 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave AMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
AMA is prone to delays
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
8am departures from AMA are usually not late
Weather at each end
AMA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.