Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5243
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
OO 5243 · MTY → IAH
departs 5:57 PM CST · arrives 7:38 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 76%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 16%
Wed 11/18 26%
Thu 11/19 27%
Fri 11/20 22%
Sat 11/21 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave MTY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
5pm departures from MTY are usually not late
Weather at each end
MTY (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.