Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5365
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
OO 5365 · IAH → SGF
departs 12:20 PM CT · arrives 2:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Sun 11/15 44%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 21%
Wed 11/18 22%
Thu 11/19 26%
Fri 11/20 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at SGF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SGF?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
12pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at IAH that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SGF
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.22 in
SGF (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.