Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5860
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
OO 5860 · ORD → MDT
departs 6:26 PM CT · arrives 9:21 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 67%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 24%
Wed 11/18 46%
Thu 11/19 38%
Fri 11/20 37%
Sat 11/21 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±4 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at MDT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDT?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MDT (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.