Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6437
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
OO 6437 · XNA → LAX
departs 4:12 PM CT · arrives 5:46 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 15%
Wed 11/18 19%
Thu 11/19 19%
Fri 11/20 17%
Sat 11/21 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±3 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at XNA
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
XNA (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.