PR 110 · MNL → GUM

departs 10:06 PM PST · arrives 3:50 AM ChST

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at GUM more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GUM?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at GUM that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MNL

↓ Arrivals into GUM at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MNL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GUM (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PR 110 · MNL → GUM

Odds over time

How late will it get to GUM?