tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 209 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 209 · IAH → BOG

departs 11:21 PM CT · arrives 5:24 AM -05
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Arrive at BOG more than 15 minutes late?
17% chance · ±3 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 7.0d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BOG?

  1. On time or early
    82%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.