Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2131 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 16 Tomorrow

UA 2131 · IAD → CLE

departs 10:38 PM ET · arrives 12:12 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from IAD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into CLE at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2131 · IAD → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?