UA 2133 · AUS → ORD

departs 9:40 AM CT · arrives 12:36 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2133 · AUS → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?