tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 817 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 817 · SFO → MEX

departs 1:14 PM PT · arrives 7:35 PM CST
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Arrive at MEX more than 15 minutes late?
41% chance · ±5 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MEX?

  1. On time or early
    58%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    14%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.