Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 923 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 16 Tomorrow

UA 923 · LAX → LHR

departs 7:03 PM PT · arrives 1:40 PM GMT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at LHR more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LHR?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LHR

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.06 in

LHR (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 923 · LAX → LHR

Odds over time

How late will it get to LHR?