Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1085
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
WN 1085 · BUR → RNO
departs 8:03 PM PT · arrives 9:29 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Mon 11/16
Thu 11/19 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at RNO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RNO?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi forecast at RNO that day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
RNO (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.