Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 117 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 16

WN 117 · DAL → SAT

departs 10:18 AM CT · arrives 11:34 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±2 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SAT that day

↑ SAT is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 117 · DAL → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?