Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1188
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 1188 · BUR → LAS
departs 8:06 AM PT · arrives 9:18 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Sun 11/15 12%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 9%
Wed 11/18 10%
Thu 11/19 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±5 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
BUR is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.