Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1191
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 1191 · DAL → MSY
departs 10:21 AM CT · arrives 11:56 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sun 11/15 37%
Mon 11/16
Thu 11/19 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at MSY that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
MSY (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.