Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1310
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 1310 · AUS → DEN
departs 6:37 PM CT · arrives 7:53 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Sun 11/15 41%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 30%
Wed 11/18 30%
Thu 11/19 39%
Fri 11/20 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±3 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
6pm departures from AUS are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.04 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.