Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1439
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
WN 1439 · DAL → MCO
departs 11:46 AM CT · arrives 3:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 69%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 14%
Wed 11/18 20%
Thu 11/19 27%
Fri 11/20 34%
Sat 11/21 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.02 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,967 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.