Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1479
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 1479 · BWI → BOS
departs 1:00 PM ET · arrives 2:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Sun 11/15 21%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 25%
Wed 11/18 25%
Thu 11/19 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↑
1pm departures from BWI are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.