Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1524
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
WN 1524 · HOU → ABQ
departs 10:26 PM CT · arrives 11:43 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 89%
Mon 11/16
Thu 11/19 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at HOU that day
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.20 in
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.