Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1656
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
WN 1656 · DAL → AUS
departs 10:12 PM CT · arrives 11:21 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 74%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 26%
Wed 11/18 32%
Thu 11/19 58%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±3 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.02 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.