Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1967
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 1967 · LAS → SNA
departs 3:04 PM PT · arrives 4:15 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sun 11/15 39%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 15%
Wed 11/18 26%
Thu 11/19 52%
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed – in 24h
–
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at SNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
3pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SNA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.