Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1982
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
WN 1982 · SFO → DAL
departs 3:49 PM PT · arrives 9:26 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 69%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 39%
Wed 11/18 50%
Thu 11/19 57%
Fri 11/20 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±10 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
3pm departures from SFO are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,233 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.36 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.