Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1989
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
WN 1989 · DAL → SAT
departs 1:02 PM CT · arrives 2:17 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 73%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 13%
Wed 11/18 21%
Thu 11/19 28%
Fri 11/20 30%
Sat 11/21 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
1pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at SAT that day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.02 in
SAT (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 6.66667 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.