Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1997 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 16

WN 1997 · HNL → BUR

departs 2:01 PM HT · arrives 9:32 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ BUR is prone to delays

↑ 2pm departures from HNL are often late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ HNL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1997 · HNL → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?