Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2007
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 2007 · HNL → KOA
departs 9:45 AM HT · arrives 10:49 AM HT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Sat 11/14 6%
Sun 11/15 6%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 6%
Wed 11/18 7%
Thu 11/19 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at KOA more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at KOA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at KOA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to KOA?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
KOA is prone to delays
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
9am departures from HNL are usually not late
↓
Arrivals into KOA at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 3,167 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
KOA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.