Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2270
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 2270 · HOU → LBB
departs 10:17 AM CT · arrives 12:02 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sun 11/15 35%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 17%
Wed 11/18 17%
Thu 11/19 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±4 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at LBB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LBB?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LBB is prone to delays
↓
Arrivals into LBB at that hour are usually not late
↓
10am departures from HOU are usually not late
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.34 in
LBB (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.