Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2396
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 2396 · MSY → DAL
departs 10:46 AM CT · arrives 12:22 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Sun 11/15 37%
Mon 11/16
Thu 11/19 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 26 kt
Ceiling 4,400 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.15 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 400 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.