Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2422
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
WN 2422 · DAL → MSY
departs 8:56 PM CT · arrives 10:31 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 47%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 22%
Wed 11/18 29%
Thu 11/19 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.02 in
MSY (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.