Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2479
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
WN 2479 · LAX → ABQ
departs 8:18 PM PT · arrives 11:22 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Mon 11/16
Thu 11/19 50%
Fri 11/20 39%
Sat 11/21 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from LAX are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.